Do recall that oil is nowhere near where it was back in the "good old days" before 2014. Don't give me this BS about Obamacare and mandates; it was gamed and I saw it gamed with people I know by making damn sure your hours were just under the mandate limits -- always. The same is true when it comes to how firms treat customers; I will not put up with that crap if I have a choice, and I do have a choice. And do remember, death of the dollar has been predicted for quite some time. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions. Further, the reduction to 15 is indeed a 90% reduction. Florida has led the way by adding an explicit per-person fine for any firm that tries this crap, recognizing that individual employees often have no money and while eventually the landsharks will get around to taking bites out of company and manager asses in the meantime the state's economy gets screwed and people need to be free to work without being coerced, assaulted and discriminated against in the workplace. Well, let's say you see three bad events. Not your risk of smashing the car, mind you, but your risk of dying due to a car smash. Fire those who don't show up? If governors and mayors give a wet crap about employment returning to normal in their jurisdictions they better act on this and fast. The simple bottom line is that comity between customers and employees -- just ordinary common courtesy -- to a large degree rests on the attitude you project in your building. Let's assume "Mozzy" was shootings and your intervention was to put more cops on the street. Nothing! There is enough statistical power to be quite sure the answer isn't 50%, but not that it's 0.5 or 1% -- or even wider. We offer a broad portfolio of innovative products and services in business aviation; combat vehicles, weapons systems and munitions; IT and C4ISR solutions; and shipbuilding and ship repair. The answer: People just didn't show up to work today, we don't have the staff. We have a balanced business model which gives each business unit the flexibility to stay agile and maintain an intimate understanding of customer requirements. With the DX sitting at 90, it doesn't look very dead although I'd rather see twin peaks on a woman than a 20 year weekly chart. Nobody, and there plenty to go around with two of them being named "Bush.". If you go cheering in the streets you're stupid. I will laugh at your children starving to death while your spouse leaves you for someone who has a brain and treats other people like human beings instead of thinking everyone around them, including their customers, is a farm animal. Well, the majority of states are killing that in June, and the rest are scheduled to expire on Labor Day. Submissions or tips on matters of economic or political interest may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. I am hearing repeated reports from all over about people just saying "**** it" and not showing up to work, or quitting. The Market Ticker content may be sent unmodified to lawmakers via print or electronic means or excerpted online for non-commercial purposes provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. and is attempting to draw parallels to 9/11. This becomes quite important when we start talking about actions that have inherent risk to try to reduce a related risk. Will Congress stop? I've had times that finding a job was easy but this is ridiculous; there are probably five jobs available for you to choose from given your skillset, and that's without changing where you live! But it's one thing to try, and other to rely or make public policy based on those numbers. The CDC is still lying and so are a whole bunch of other people, but the attitude has changed and people have figured it out. And it wasn't just the customer moods that soured either as prices rose and service went in the crapper -- so did the employee's mood and with damn good cause. Who got hammered over that in government? Let Oregon see how well it works out for them in comparison to Florida. So was the last one. Except..... your control period was August, September and October, where the test was November, December and January. We pride ourselves on our responsible and ethical practices. If you get 5, well, did you really get a 0.5% prevalence or did you just get unlucky? So what -- is he or she paying you? Maybe. Does it hold and turn it back downward or do we get a breakout on longer-term yields? Grocery stores.Hardware stores.Big-box stores of various sorts.Restaurants, "to go" (that means no tips, by the way. In other words you can get a ~3.5% confidence interval (in other words, 95% likely the true answer is between two points) with about 800 people -- provided they are all events. We have a nice lively conversation; as said, popcorn time. There's a Help Wanted sign on the door, like so many other places. I love how people always point at The Fed but the fact of the matter is that The Federal Reserve only exists because of an act of Congress, the Federal Reserve Act sets forth both responsibilities and powers in that act, The Fed has ignored the strictures serially and Congress has both the authority and ability to stop it and not only hasn't, they've enabled and furthered it! Well, the statistics say you did indeed. This means that "Vaccine Passports" in the workplace or discriminating against employees on that basis is against the law. What's that got to do with anyone else? Many people still sat at home and smoked bongs. From Gulfstream business jets and combat vehicles to nuclear-powered submarines and communications systems, people around the world depend on our products and services for their safety and security. But if the prevalence is very low, say, 1%, then taking 1,000 samples is likely to lead to a very large skew because you only expect 10 positive tests. The condition is dangerous and could kill you. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. The guy down the street has his head screwed on straight, I'm not 10 anymore and you're not my Dad so **** off. But whether it is or not doesn't really matter; do you want to******off not only half your customers but half your employees too? The idiots who run these places, including both the big national companies like Kroger and the little scared-cat nutjob, have played MaskHole for the last year. Scylla is a drop-in Apache Cassandra alternative big data database that powers applications with ultra-low latency and extremely high throughput. Your throw is a trial of one and so if the true odds are 0.05% then they are irrespective of all the other trials before. If those employees wound up in the hospital, tough crap; suck on that $500,000 medical bill. So you decide you're going to try to stop Mozzy. Colonial anyone? If the entire workforce of the local WalMart stuck up the middle finger and walked out tomorrow those people wouldn't even make a dent in the Help Wanted signs within a 5 mile radius of the place and they'd all probably get a pay raise out of it too. Their entire claim under the EUAs was that they stop you from going to the hospital and dying. So if the odds are in fact 0.05% of the bad thing then whether 10, 100 or 10,000 people all didn't have it happen -- or some did have it happen -- prior to you doing it makes no difference whatsoever. Each of us has an obligation to behave according to our values. The drug could kill you too; all drugs have some risk of doing bad things. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker. Then things sort of reopened. Each business unit is responsible for the execution of its strategy and operational performance. It is a seller's market for labor now in a way I've never seen before in my life. The distribution of former outcomes on that board is pure random chance and so is the next throw of the ball. Let's say that a "bad thing" is likely to happen to 50 in 100,000 people, that is, 0.05%. This was one of the issues I identified with attempting to do serological samples early on. The best situation of course is that whatever makes the condition more-dangerous makes the drug less-so, but this is rare. Let's say that this is a town and it's a physical event, so you take the town, draw a line down the middle and you do something you think will make Mozzy go away in as an experiment. You really did something good. But I do think you ought to be careful; people tend to think that higher inflation can be good for markets, and to a point it can be, but there's a point where while on paper it's good the policy is a disaster since the money doesn't buy anything. If your answer is "not very" you're wise. WalMart posted "hall monitors" at the door with sandwich-board sized signs. Since the density of homeless people compared with the rest of the town goes up in the winter in that area it may account for the entire change. Maybe Mozzy is an insect that bites people and gives them a terrible disease. You're careful to first map where all the 300 Mozzy events happened over the last three months and draw the line down the middle, allegedly at least, as best you can determine, getting half on each side. The places with them had the same epidemic curves as those that did not. People try to claim this divide is political, and maybe some of it is. Assuming that there is no cheating going on and the wheel and ball are in fact "fair" (that is, the ball is round and balanced, and all of the spaces on the wheel have the same characteristics) each roll of the ball has exactly the same odds of landing on a given number on the wheel as every other roll of the ball. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. General Dynamics is organized into four business groups: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems and Technologies. Never mind all the people who had Covid -- there is exactly zero scientific reason for them to take the shots; they already have as good of immunity as they're going to get and the data is that if you've had the disease the shots are much more dangerous. When jobs are very hard to get it's one thing when your job is screwing with you; then let 'em do you and, if you think you're right, chase 'em. If I go into a retail environment I want to see smiles and happy faces and if I don't I will leave and go where I do. Be careful assuming the risk of the drug is the same in everyone because it probably isn't, just as the risk of the condition is probably not the same in everyone too. Science Catches Up -- And Burns You All. The first rule of holes: When in one stop making it deeper! Not until they have to. How much higher? What if Mozzy was muggings by homeless people and the control had Lower Wacker Drive in it (for those who don't know, Chicago has a "lower level" around the Loop, and homeless people congregate there in winter for shelter and because the warmer-air exhaust flow from buildings is down there, so you won't freeze to death.) Let's say you have a bad thing, call it "Mozzy", that happens once in a while. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility. In that way, we can ensure that we continue to be good stewards of the investments in us by our shareholders, customers, employees and communities, now and in the future. So why are employers telling those who don't want the shot -- even those who had Covid -- to wear a mask? Got it? Oh wait -- not like "so many" other places, like damn near everywhere I go! Read this first. When do they have to? For investment, legal or other professional advice specific to your situation contact a licensed professional in your jurisdiction. At the same time if you never take your vehicle outside of city limits where the speed limit is 25mph I bet it's quite a bit lower. Elizabeth Lesser is a bestselling author and the co-founder of Omega Institute, an education and retreat center focusing on health, wellness, spirituality, creativity, and social change. One final point:  If you're offered some type of lottery-style prize to do a potentially dangerous thing -- run. But attitudes go sour over time when you're being abused, and paying something for nothing does too, especially when you have to work but the guy next door is still smoking bongs at 5:00 AM when you have to roll out of bed. You'll be happier, you'll make more money and that's a damn good ending, isn't it? I see wobbles, but not "short the phone book" stuff -- yet. NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES. 33.8k Followers, 6,487 Following, 251 Posts - See Instagram photos and videos from Cassandra Starr 💫 (@starrslife) There's also a related question: Did you actually screw the people in the control group by shifting some of the shootings away from where the cops are? Except... not really. It's also about working conditions. Time to make the same change in the rest of the town. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein. If you're an employee and your employer is threatening mandates or doing something like "take the shot or mask" get another job somewhere else where the people who run the place have a brain. Right now there are so many jobs available you're nuts to not jump ship and let them try to run the joint with half their staff and nobody willing you put up with their crap instead. As far as I'm concerned those who claim to run "businesses" and don't get this can go sit on a running Sawzall and spin. The thing about markets is that its all confidence when you get down to it. Learn More. Most of these firms and their managers deserve it. The mask mandates -- and all the abuse heaped on the employees and the public did nothing. And do remember, death of the dollar has been predicted for quite some time.With the DX sitting at 90, it doesn't look very dead although I'd rather see twin peaks on a woman than a 20 year weekly chart.. Do remember too that the bond vigilantes have allegedly been slain and are now-devoured by vultures.We'll see. Or will they? Oh sure, there are still plenty people very scared of Covid, but they're not everyone and what's worse is that those who are still scared are, to a large degree, now psychotic about it which means they're the very last people who are going to be pleasant on the customer side of the counter whether employees are masked or not. But note that the actual risk to someone in your town originally was only 1 in 100. But wait -- was that part of your negotiation when you took the job? While some of the employees undoubtedly are still scared out of their minds that's management's and the government's fault too and now they are getting screwed with their own dick; the rest of the staff are tired of being abused for the last year straight while being called "essential" and a huge percentage of the population is tired of being treated like toddlers. The wood problem will eventually cream Real Estate; right now it's fueling the bubble pricing. But that's across everyone; your personal risk, if you drive while intoxicated, is likely quite a bit higher. Well, that's a joke. Linear scalability and proven fault-tolerance on commodity hardware or cloud infrastructure make it the perfect platform for mission-critical data. Uncle CDC said so and the government clucked in approval, cranking up the printers to hand out trillions of dollars they did not have. I don't think so. Unfortunately that's not a monetary or, really, a spending problem. Corn is sporty, but not beyond highs. 41k Followers, 1,174 Following, 1,936 Posts - See Instagram photos and videos from C A S S I E Y O U N G (@cassandrayoung) Grammy award winning artist Cassandra Wilson joins forces with three firebrands - New York City’s Best Italian Chef, Michele Massari, jazz/blues guitarist, Marvin Sewell and jazz guitarist/producer, Fabrizio Sotti for a unique and unforgettable event. A much-bigger problem is the stupidity in our energy generation and delivery system. General Dynamics employees have pushed the boundaries by embracing change for more than 65 years. We rely on the skills of our employees and their knowledge of customer requirements to deliver best-in-class products and services. Want to give me crap about not wearing a mask and not being scared of others in the store and your staff? In the other half there are 15 Mozzy events. I heard it again just recently at Kroger; the employee monitoring the self check-outs (all that was open, and only half of them) was asked directly by a customer why the other half and none of the manned checkouts were open.